Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 5.5% on 10 Dec 2024 and the low 0.4% on 1 Jan 2025. $60.27K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 9:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 10 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cpt1 | Yes | 512.21 |
| Imaginary-Streetcar | Yes | 178.57 |
| belloy | Yes | 1.05 |
| ycxbsdidj | No | 0.03 |
| DFKK | No | 0.02 |
| NahB | Yes | 0.01 |
| hebschvladamir90 | No | 0.01 |
| acc-1 | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the shooter of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson received money for the act, or was supposed to receive money for the act due to a contract or agreement made prior. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed the shooter received no money for the act. This market will resolve once there have been statements from the relevant law enforcement agencies confirming whether Thompson was paid. If there has been no definitive statement by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-was-brian-thompson-perp-paid
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
