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Paper trading
Resolved No on 11 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 1.6% on 23 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 10 Jan 2026. $400.31K traded over the market's life.
96 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 11 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 1.6% |
| 11 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cool-Bat | Yes | 5.13K |
| khar4er | Yes | 3.99K |
| donglai66 | Yes | 3.5K |
| crisislarper | Yes | 2.95K |
| Diferenc | Yes | 2.54K |
| Remorseful-Code | Yes | 2.5K |
| Negative-Wiring | Yes | 2.02K |
| Uneven-Councilman | Yes | 2K |
| Frightened-Caliber | Yes | 2K |
| Gambaman1 | Yes | 1.72K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On December 22, a video surfaced depicting the 2019 suicide of Jeffrey Epstein in his prison cell, sourced from the Epstein files released on December 19. https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%208/EFTA00029924.mp4 This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is definitive evidence confirming the authenticity of the video by January 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any federal authority of the United States formally confirms that the video is not significantly digitally altered, edited, AI-generated or augmented, or doctored to make it appear as though it is footage of Jeffrey Epstein's suicide it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the US Government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-is-the-epstein-video-real
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