Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jan 2025.
$606.95K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 5:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 2 Jan 2025, chart shows 84%–96%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2025 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| negotiator | No | 985.56 |
| idabest | No | 500 |
| TeefSmasha | No | 114.91 |
| AKAkorea | No | 10.81 |
| chillllllli | Yes | 1.33 |
| oia | Yes | 1.27 |
| Bohemian | No | 0.01 |
| keribit | Yes | 0.01 |
| Niziolowski | Yes | 0.01 |
| Hartal | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cause of the Cybertruck explosion outside the Trump Hotel in Las Vegas on January 1, 2025 is confirmed to have been intentionally caused by January 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If evidence confirms that the explosion was caused by a technical malfunction, or was otherwise the result of an accident, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by an identified perpetrator and information released by relevant law enforcement agencies/officials, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-cybertruck-explosion-intentional
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