Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70%. Yes opened at 39% on 4 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2025 to 6 Apr 2025, the highest close was 39% on 4 Apr 2025 and the lowest 30% on 6 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 30% on 6 Apr 2025. $11.08K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 7, 9:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Apr 2025 – 6 Apr 2025, chart shows 25%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2025 | 39.0% |
| 6 Apr 2025 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Voyager 8660 | Yes | 885 |
| Silver Vector B1B4 | Yes | 850 |
| Azure Horizon 9A55 | Yes | 500 |
| Royal Comet E8C0 | Yes | 405 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Formula 1 (F1) racer Liam Lawson finishes ahead of F1 racer Yuki Tsunoda at the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled to take place April 6, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after April 28, 2025, this market will resolve to 50-50 The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-will-lawson-finish-ahead-of-tsunoda-in-the-japan-grand-prix
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Royal Kestrel DC43 | Yes | 335 |
| Jade Orbit 6575 | Yes | 130 |
| Swift Atlas F3B9 | Yes | 110 |
| Cosmic Pioneer 8E5F | Yes | 80 |
| Azure Sphinx 2731 | Yes | 70 |
| Ivory Signal B48B | Yes | 70 |
