Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.6%. Yes opened at 3.3% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.8% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 3.3% on 12 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 14.2% on 24 Mar 2026. $2.18K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 9:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 3.3% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 13.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 991.73 |
| 6aHaH | Yes | 240 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 132.71 |
| human.bean | Yes | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-japanese-grand-prix-constructor-pole-position-2026-03-28
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| Sparkling-Rope | Yes | 15 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 11.16 |
| shine | Yes | 0.05 |
| Intent-Ton | Yes | 0.01 |
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