Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 44% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 12% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 40% on 27 Mar 2026. $1.22K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 9:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 44.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 100.9 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 83.61 |
| human.bean | Yes | 54.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team whose driver achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-japanese-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2026-03-29
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| DTG7777 | Yes | 12.5 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
| goatkubica | Yes | 0.46 |
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