Analytics
Resolved Mercedes on 31 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Mercedes at 42.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2025 to 31 Aug 2025, the highest close was 72% on 30 Aug 2025 and the lowest 42.5% on 26 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 57.5% on 28 Aug 2025. $877.34 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 5:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Aug 2025 – 31 Aug 2025, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 31 Aug 2025 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Glorius | Ferrari | 49.98 |
| SimplyLaura | Ferrari | 15.38 |
| JRlx | Ferrari | 9.23 |
| autohedge | Ferrari | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Ferrari or Mercedes will earn more constructor points at the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for August 31, 2025. If Ferrari earns more constructor points, this market will resolve to "Ferrari". If Mercedes earns more constructor points, this market will resolve to "Mercedes". If constructor points are tied, the market will resolve in favor of the team with the highest-finishing car at the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix. If the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is cancelled or postponed past September 14, 2025, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-dutch-grand-prix-constructor-matchups
| orionallstar | Ferrari | 4 |
| Xan | Ferrari | 2 |
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