
Trading is closed with the Norris side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 55.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 48% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 48% on 15 Mar 2026.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 12:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Norris price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Norris price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 51.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 48.0% |
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This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026. If Norris finishes ahead of Piastri, this market will resolve to "Norris". If Piastri finishes ahead of Norris, this market will resolve to "Piastri". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Chinese Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Chinese Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-chinese-grand-prix-h2h-2026-03-15
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