Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 41.5% on 14 Mar 2026.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 11:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 27.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 186.48 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 16.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team whose driver achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 22, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-chinese-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2026-03-15
| ramba2 | Yes | 14.87 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 11.16 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 9.27 |
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