Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 21 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 21 Jun 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 21 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 13.5% on 11 Jul 2026. $1.47K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 21 Jun 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bromberg | Yes | 244.37 |
| Notboredss | Yes | 152.26 |
| kas0016 | Yes | 100 |
| Remorseful-Porpoise | Yes | 94.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a red flag is shown at any point during the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 19, 2026. The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any red flag periods. If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 26, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. A red flag shown during practice sessions, qualifying sessions, or any other session besides the main race does not count for this market. Only red flags shown during the Grand Prix race itself will result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-belgian-grand-prix-red-flag-2026-07-19
| Vapid-Swivel | Yes | 60 |
| mrSig | Yes | 50 |
| zakoo17 | Yes | 40.4 |
| davidxo | Yes | 29.41 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| Meglio31 | Yes | 8 |
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