Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 15 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 44% on 28 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 71% on 16 Mar 2026.
$4.49K has traded since listing.
The largest position is Keen Comet 2AAC with 10 No shares.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 12:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 15 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | 53.0% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Keen Comet 2AAC | No | 10 |
| Cobalt Vector 0CBB | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Apr 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-bahrain-grand-prix-driver-podium-2026-04-12
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