Analytics
Resolved Hamilton on 28 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Hamilton at 43.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 31 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 31 May 2026 to 28 Jun 2026, the highest close was 62.5% on 23 Jun 2026 and the lowest 45% on 16 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 62.5% on 23 Jun 2026. $206.19 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 6:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 31 May 2026 – 28 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Jun 2026 | 56.5% |
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This market will resolve according to the driver who finishes ahead of the other at the F1 Austrian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jun 28, 2026. If Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton, this market will resolve to "Leclerc". If Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc, this market will resolve to "Hamilton". In the case of a tie between two drivers, this market will resolve 50-50. If the Austrian Grand Prix is postponed this market will remain open until the vent has been completed. If the Austrian Grand Prix is permanently canceled this market will resolve 50-50. If either driver fails to finish the race (including DNF, DSQ, or any other non-finish), the driver who completes more laps will be considered to have finished ahead. If both drivers complete the same number of laps, this market will resolve 50-50, regardless of the order in which they retired. This rule applies even if one or both drivers are unclassified in the FIA “Final Classification.” This market will resolve based on the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-austrian-grand-prix-h2h-2026-06-28
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