Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59%. Yes opened at 35% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 41% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 32% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 41% on 8 Mar 2026.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 35.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| XVRY | Yes | 1.43K |
| Jubilant-Watercress | Yes | 237.56 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 200 |
| kimbo364 | Yes | 189.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a red flag is shown at any point during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 (ET). The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any red flag periods. If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 14, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve 50-50. A red flag shown during practice sessions, qualifying sessions, or any other session besides the main race does not count for this market. Only red flags shown during the Grand Prix race itself will result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-australian-grand-prix-red-flag-2026-03-07
| masterstark | Yes | 158.62 |
| thezedux | Yes | 130.52 |
| ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | Yes | 122.49 |
| Affilion | Yes | 120 |
| Danielluke11 | Yes | 105.64 |
| DoctorIsrael | Yes | 89.19 |
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