Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 42% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 6 Mar 2026, the highest close was 42% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 24% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 24% on 5 Mar 2026.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 6:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 6 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 42.0% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 118 |
| leegunner | Yes | 47 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 40.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 6, 2026 (ET). If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 13, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap time in Practice 2 as published by the FIA. If Practice 2 is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-australian-grand-prix-practice-2-fastest-lap-2026-03-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
