Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 7 Dec 2025, the highest close was 22.5% on 4 Dec 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 22.5% on 4 Dec 2025. $4.79K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 7 Dec 2025, chart shows 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 14.5% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.06K |
| Polybetme | Yes | 592.56 |
| Gaga42 | Yes | 588.24 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 337 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a red flag is shown at any point during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, scheduled for Dec 7, 2025. The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any red flag periods. If the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Dec 14, 2025, this market will resolve 50-50. A red flag shown during practice sessions, qualifying sessions, or any other session besides the main race does not count for this market. Only red flags shown during the Grand Prix race itself will result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2025/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-abu-dhabi-grand-prix-red-flag-2025-12-07
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 294 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 238 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 176 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 173 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 142 |
| Unsteady-Maiden | Yes | 117.65 |
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