
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 15% on 16 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2025 to 31 Jan 2025, the highest close was 15% on 16 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 26 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 6.5% on 17 Jan 2025. $5.63K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 12:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 16 Jan 2025 – 31 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 15.0% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Varil | No | 0.08 |
| Self-Assured-Benefit | No | 0.05 |
| Last-Stepson | No | 0.04 |
| yyyyyyy | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Explode iOS app (https://apps.apple.com/us/app/explode/id6596779134) is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the Utility category under "Free Apps", on any day between January 14 and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from Apple (see: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/utilities-apps/6002).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/explode-app-1-utility-app-in-january
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page