Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.4%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 26 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 26 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 23.5% on 26 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 8.5% on 27 Dec 2025. $157.38K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 26 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | 23.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 5.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vibrant-Voice | Yes | 3.57K |
| ndriqa-old | Yes | 2.46K |
| Solar Scout 92ED | Yes | 1.72K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased documents containing evidence that Jeffrey Epstein blackmailed a politician are made public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Blackmail is defined as any use or attempted use of compromising materials or information (such as photos, videos, documents, or incriminating knowledge) to coerce, extort, manipulate, or otherwise gain leverage over a specific person or persons. Qualifying evidence that Epstein blackmailed any individual requires one of the following: - A direct statement within the newly released files demonstrating that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group. - A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that the newly released files show that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group. - A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that Epstein used any materials released as part of the newly released files for blackmail. General references to Epstein possessing damaging information, vague insinuations, or speculative commentary will not qualify. Mentions of “leverage,” “influence,” “favors,” or similar language will not qualify unless clearly tied to the use or attempted use of compromising materials for blackmail as defined in this market. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the content of any released files and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/evidence-epstein-blackmailed-politicians-released-by-jan-31
| Yes |
| 1.52K |
| taa | Yes | 1.18K |
| liberals | Yes | 802.76 |
| bamesjond | Yes | 732.86 |
| WetCheetos | Yes | 519.61 |
| JaidenAnimations | Yes | 480 |
| Oblong-Bathrobe | Yes | 439 |
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