Analytics
Resolved Real Madrid on 13 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Real Madrid at 69.5%. The Real Madrid side opened at 50.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 11 Mar 2026, the highest close was 69.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 67.5% on 9 Mar 2026.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 12:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Real Madrid price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 11 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Real Madrid price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | 69.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| torta.tech | Valencia | 1.89K |
| Unknown-Rainmaker | Valencia | 658.02 |
| IceAK47 | Valencia | 633.13 |
| Glorious-Arrow | Valencia | 290 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for March 12 at 3:45PM ET: If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/euroleague-madrid-valencia-2026-03-12
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| Brave-Stand | Valencia | 275.65 |
| vanellope | Valencia | 159.7 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Valencia | 140.75 |
| Emerald Lynx 62EB | Valencia | 99.98 |
| Extra-Large-Nectar | Valencia | 96.77 |
| IVANetne | Valencia | 95.52 |
