Analytics
Resolved Germany on 30 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Germany at 69.5%. The Lithuania side opened at 49.5% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 29 Aug 2025 and the low 30.5% on 30 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 30.5% on 30 Aug 2025. $11.16K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 31, 4:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lithuania price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 29 Aug 2025 – 30 Aug 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Lithuania price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
| 30 Aug 2025 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| davorator | Lithuania | 602.15 |
| gvtrade | Lithuania | 418.39 |
| SirJoe222 | Lithuania | 355.17 |
| Swift-Museum | Lithuania | 304.39 |
| Kretsche | Lithuania | 250 |
| Euf | Lithuania | 100.39 |
| lukayi168 | Lithuania | 90.91 |
| kaspa94 | Lithuania | 75.76 |
| Ttoend | Lithuania | 11.5 |
| MolotovBets | Lithuania | 11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming EuroBasket game, scheduled for August 30, at 06:30 AM ET: If Lithuania wins, the market will resolve to “Lithuania”. If Germany wins, the market will resolve to “Germany”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurobasket-lithuania-vs-germany-2025-08-30
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