Analytics
Resolved Israel on 31 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Israel at 50%. The Israel side opened at 50% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2025 to 31 Aug 2025, the price held at 50%. $31.06K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 12:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Israel price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Aug 2025 – 31 Aug 2025, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Israel price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 31 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DegenPap | France | 700 |
| bongsai | France | 555.56 |
| davorator | France | 391.61 |
| Krzyj | France | 333.33 |
| Deafening-Possible | France | 14 |
| bernardy | France | 10.91 |
| grandduke7 | France | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming EuroBasket game, scheduled for August 31, at 11:00 AM ET: If Israel wins, the market will resolve to “Israel”. If France wins, the market will resolve to “France”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurobasket-israel-vs-france-2025-08-31
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