Analytics
Resolved Turkey on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Turkey at 92.5%. The Estonia side opened at 49.5% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 29 Aug 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 25.5% on 30 Aug 2025. $7.68K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 4:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Estonia price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 29 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Estonia price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| -Guapo-- | Estonia | 459 |
| KKovro | Estonia | 122.78 |
| Deafening-Possible | Estonia | 14 |
| Tekrox.eth | Estonia | 12.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming EuroBasket game, scheduled for September 1, at 07:45 AM ET: If Estonia wins, the market will resolve to “Estonia”. If Turkey wins, the market will resolve to “Turkey”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurobasket-estonia-vs-turkey-2025-09-01
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BigBlackGorilla | Estonia | 5 |
