Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 18 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2024 to 26 Jun 2024, the highest close was 59% on 19 Jun 2024 and the lowest 13.5% on 25 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 37% on 20 Jun 2024. $14.84K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 27, 6:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 18 Jun 2024 – 26 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2024 | 52.0% |
| 26 Jun 2024 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PeterT | Yes | 4.65 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If any one of the listed teams below does NOT advance from the Group Stage of EURO 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes": France, England, Germany, Netherlands, Spain, Portugal, Belgium, or Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, all listed teams must advance from the Group Stage in order to resolve this market to "No". If at least one of the listed teams does not advance from the Group Stage, this market will resolve to "Yes". If at any point it is impossible for one of the listed teams to advance from the Group Stage according to the rules of the tournament, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". Likewise, if it can at any point be definitively determined that all of the listed teams will advance from the Group Stage, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/euro-2024-will-a-favorite-fail-to-advance-beyond-group-stage
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