ETHGAS FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 22, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$27.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 22, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 22 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 22 Jan 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 22 Jan 2026. $27.36K traded over the market's life.

17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 12:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Jan 2026	6.5%
22 Jan 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Lesivv	Yes	1K
barsik	Yes	881.66
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	348
Pandero2014	Yes	333.33

10 of 17 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of ETHGAS's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If ETHGAS (https://x.com/ETHGasOfficial) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".