Analytics
Resolved Up on 31 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 64.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 30 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2025 to 31 Oct 2025, the highest close was 64.5% on 31 Oct 2025 and the lowest 50% on 30 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 64.5% on 31 Oct 2025. $127.62K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2025 – 31 Oct 2025, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 31 Oct 2025 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gbus5330 | Down | 2.5K |
| xielisong | Down | 990.1 |
| Favorite-Geek | Down | 462.56 |
| vmdaniel | Down | 442.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 30 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 31 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 30 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 31 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-31
| vokda | Down | 200.25 |
| TANGANBO | Down | 200.23 |
| koniu | Down | 200 |
| cccccccccccccc | Down | 176.89 |
| Phi74 | Down | 149.99 |
| ks333 | Down | 100 |
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