Analytics
Resolved Down on 29 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 85.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 29 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 28 Oct 2025 and the lowest 14.5% on 29 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 14.5% on 29 Oct 2025. $114.15K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 31, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 29 Oct 2025
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Prisha | Up | 4.08K |
| Instructive-Rhubarb | Up | 4.01K |
| Mightyfool | Up | 2.37K |
| Shabby-Radiator | Up | 2.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 28 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 29 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 28 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 29 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-29
| przemekkm | Up | 2K |
| PhongLeXBT | Up | 1.42K |
| floww11 | Up | 833.33 |
| KellanBay | Up | 415 |
| Soupless | Up | 298.65 |
| aappf | Up | 250 |
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