Analytics
Resolved Down on 15 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 90.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 15 Nov 2025, the highest close was 50% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 9.5% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9.5% on 15 Nov 2025. $156.19K traded over the market's life.
93 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 15 Nov 2025
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 15 Nov 2025 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WhitneyHouston | Up | 7.78K |
| Negative-Stay | Up | 7.5K |
| Aster1PM1 | Up | 3.61K |
| MotherMarywithus | Up | 2.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 14 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-november-15
| Aster2PM2 | Up | 1.94K |
| 9735 | Up | 1.05K |
| moskkavolka | Up | 959.19 |
| Vvvzzz | Up | 622.61 |
| Sterling.m | Up | 577.3 |
| Fartard | Up | 500 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
