Ethereum Up or Down on January 15?

Resolved

Down, settled Jan 15, 2026 UTC

0.0%

Down

100.0%

Final Up 0¢Final Down 100¢

Lifetime volume

$194.9K

Resolved

Down

Settled

Jan 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Down on 15 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Down at 56%. The Up side opened at 50% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 15 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 44% on 15 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 44% on 15 Jan 2026. $194.93K traded over the market's life.

52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 15 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–55%

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
14 Jan 2026	50.0%
15 Jan 2026	44.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
kederrac	Up	14.69K
ZEKA01	Up	1.11K
felcorn14	Up	1K
mycndota	Up	423

10 of 52 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-january-15

Dates

Event starts

Jan 13, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Jan 15, 2026 UTC