Analytics
Resolved Up on 23 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Up at 49%. The Up side was at 50% at 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 5 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC to 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the highest read was 50% on 21 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 49% on 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. $4.69K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 6:06 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC – 23 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Vector F21C | Down | 230.99 |
| c231dw1 | Down | 70.01 |
| KyroKennn | Down | 67.25 |
| jdsaiab | Down | 65.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-october-23-2026-9am-et
| iudzliu | Down | 54.59 |
| pojpodsad | Down | 41.62 |
| wrnmmy | Down | 40 |
| bisjda | Down | 23.25 |
| MetaGazer-0x | Down | 20 |
| a5533 | Down | 20 |
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