Analytics
Resolved Down on 10 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 50%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 10 Jan 2026, the price held at 50%. $35.09K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 10 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Urban-Gearshift | Up | 1K |
| TENETENET | Up | 499.99 |
| Keen Voyager AAA2 | Up | 424 |
| wzbbb | Up | 200 |
| Niio | Up | 124.86 |
| Young-Obsession | Up | 73.58 |
| HelloWorld2024 | Up | 35 |
| LiqProv0x3e3DE8538d11cB39FDcCD60F2591cd... | Up | 25 |
| andthenjusttestme | Up | 21.91 |
| Prize-Motorboat | Up | 21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-january-10-2pm-et
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