Analytics
Resolved Positive on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Positive at 49%. The Positive side opened at 50% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 31 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 49% on 31 Mar 2026. $504.99 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 3:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Positive price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 31 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Positive price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Negative | 500 |
| rocketcrypto | Negative | 4.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Tuesday, March 31, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://farside.co.uk/eth/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-etf-flows-on-march-31
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