Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 9.5% on 7 Oct 2025 and the low 0.3% on 13 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.2 points down, to 2.4% on 8 Oct 2025. $1.61M traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 7 Oct 2025 – 13 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 9.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 11.02K |
| Bladen | Yes | 8.98K |
| EmberVortexxxi | Yes | 1K |
| grilga | Yes | 608.92 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 128 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 26.38 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
