Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 10.5%. Yes opened at 61% on 3 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 91% on 7 Oct 2025 and the low 61% on 3 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 62.5% on 8 Oct 2025. $29.3K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 4:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 3 Oct 2025 – 9 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2025 | 61.0% |
| 9 Oct 2025 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aadvark | Yes | 2.34K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 447 |
| hoant | Yes | 421.43 |
| dxcaw | Yes | 341 |
| RothschildVIII | Yes | 280.49 |
| CryptoDygo | Yes | 207 |
| JustBeHappy | Yes | 44.53 |
| sarabande | Yes | 30 |
| wellermann | Yes | 20 |
| Spherical-Dot | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-9
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
