Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92.5%. Yes opened at 23% on 29 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 92.5% on 5 Oct 2025 and the low 15.5% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 70.5% on 3 Oct 2025. $25.49K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 29 Sep 2025 – 5 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2025 | 23.0% |
| 5 Oct 2025 | 92.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| psycho1992 | No | 827.53 |
| aadvark | No | 520.7 |
| Agile-Guinea | No | 178.82 |
| grua | No | 110 |
| 10493168658169183 | No | 28 |
| bbc-test-1 | No | 9.52 |
| Homi68 | No | 4.55 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-5
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