Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.2%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 78.5% on 9 Oct 2025 and the low 4.5% on 12 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 53 points down, to 8% on 11 Oct 2025. $50.3K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 8 Oct 2025 – 14 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 68.5% |
| 14 Oct 2025 | 29.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cattalist | Yes | 6.35K |
| aadvark | Yes | 1.48K |
| Smooth-Husband | Yes | 1.32K |
| streetc | Yes | 250 |
| BIGTAT | Yes | 250 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 213.98 |
| kyparissos | Yes | 105.26 |
| enricooo | Yes | 100 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 55 |
| 10493168658169183 | Yes | 37 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-14
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