Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 12 Jan 2026, the highest close was 18.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 5% on 8 Jan 2026. $34.09K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 15.0% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zzzzzaaaa | Yes | 3.38K |
| zzer | Yes | 500 |
| Magnificent-Windage | Yes | 250 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 245 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-january-12
| Extraneous-Slippers | Yes | 136.57 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 74 |
| B47-75 | Yes | 58.9 |
| deepzone | Yes | 20 |
| Prize-Motorboat | Yes | 20 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
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