Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 12 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 3.5% on 13 Dec 2025. $87.6K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuskFlame | Yes | 2K |
| Lunar Lynx FE34 | Yes | 1.1K |
| Crimson Oracle B80C | Yes | 1K |
| zonh | Yes | 999.99 |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 900 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 682 |
| tailevent | Yes | 599.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 543 |
| Alinorm | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 238 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-december-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
