Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.3%. Yes opened at 9% on 2 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the low 4.7% on 8 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 4.7% on 8 Jan 2026. $135.57K traded over the market's life.
355 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 10, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 2 Jan 2026 – 8 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | 9.0% |
| 8 Jan 2026 | 4.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyBlaster | Yes | 2K |
| 2d0rmeai | Yes | 1K |
| dubing | Yes | 999.82 |
| 7788112 | Yes | 916.59 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 759 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 652 |
| astremousova68 | Yes | 550 |
| Cryotoguy8 | Yes | 518.34 |
| Fatal-Sleuth | Yes | 435 |
| Ontilt00 | Yes | 400 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-january-8
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