Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 4?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$74.1K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 4, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.6%. Yes opened at 13% on 29 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 29 Dec 2025 to 4 Jan 2026, the highest close was 15.5% on 3 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.2% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 15.5% on 3 Jan 2026. $74.11K traded over the market's life.

73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 12:33 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 29 Dec 2025 – 4 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
29 Dec 2025	13.0%
4 Jan 2026	8.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
fomod	Yes	1.92K
PotDeVigne	Yes	1.67K
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	1.07K
69Fehu888	Yes	1K

10 of 73 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.