Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 24.5%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 93% on 11 Dec 2025 and the low 67.5% on 9 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 88% on 10 Dec 2025. $311.13K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 17, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 9 Dec 2025 – 15 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 67.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 75.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyBlaster | Yes | 2.83K |
| GoldenFlask151 | Yes | 1.7K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 890 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 552 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 241 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 203 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 201 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 159 |
| Shrill-Arthur | Yes | 101.96 |
| 9735 | Yes | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-december-15
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