Analytics
Yes is at 59.5%, down 13 points from 72.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026, the highest close was 75.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 59.5% on 25 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 59.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on October 29?”.
$589.03 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $705.2 since listing. The order book holds $13.48K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is gt197 with 266 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 585.
Trading closes on 29 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 9:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 55%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 72.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 59.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 584.62 |
| gt197 | Yes | 265.94 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Yes | 250 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-29-2026
| mtm101 |
| Yes |
| 38.13 |
| anon2233 | Yes | 36.54 |
| Solar Raven 9A5A | No | 12.44 |
| HaileyWelch | Yes | 10 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | No | 10 |
| mgb22 | Yes | 6.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
