Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 28 Mar 2024. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 28 Mar 2024 and the low 14.5% on 31 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 16.5% on 29 Mar 2024. $9.35K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 28 Mar 2024 – 3 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2024 | 49.5% |
| 3 Apr 2024 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.46K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On March 27 Ethena (ENA) announced the upcoming end of their pre-token "Ethena Shard Campaign" and the upcoming launch of their token (see https://mirror.xyz/0xF99d0E4E3435cc9C9868D1C6274DfaB3e2721341/uCBp9VeuLWs-ul1b6AOUAoMg5HBB_iizMIi-11N6nT8). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethena's token $ENA is between $12,500,000,000 (inclusive) and $15,000,000,000 (inclusive) 1 day after its first community airdrop. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 day after its first community airdrop" is defined as 24 hours after the first community airdrop starts. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethena (NA) doesn't airdrop by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethena-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-airdrop
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