Analytics
Resolved Down on 22 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Down at 68%. The Up side was at 50% at 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 4 price reads from 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 50% on 21 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 32% on 22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $1.53K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 1:37 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MetaGazer-0x | Up | 40 |
| rottenleaf24 | Up | 30 |
| a5533 | Up | 19 |
| end9527 | Up | 12.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eth-updown-4h-1792641600
New to prediction markets?
| TENETENET | Up | 10 |
| cjie888test | Up | 9.35 |
| Entire-Ectoderm | Up | 7.88 |
| Healthy-Oats | Up | 6 |
| cuthaxer | Up | 5.94 |
| silconsigleri | Up | 5.86 |
