Analytics
Resolved Down on 13 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 100%. The Up side opened at 50% on 12 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 12 Oct 2026 and the low 0.1% on 13 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.1% on 13 Oct 2026. $3.06K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 11:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 13 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0b3e328455c4059EEb9e3f84b5543F74E24e7E1w | Up | 479.37 |
| justdance | Up | 292.92 |
| fx3670 | Up | 100 |
| 432 | Up | 33.3 |
| kx2323 | Up | 25 |
| PredictiveLayer | Up | 20.3 |
| CloudyDayTrade | Up | 20 |
| Experienced-Telescreen-Soul | Up | 15 |
| TENETENET | Up | 10 |
| Hospitable-Controversy | Up | 8.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eth-updown-4h-1791835200
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