Analytics
Resolved Up on 24 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 41.5%. The Up side opened at 50% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 23 Feb 2026 and the low 41.5% on 24 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 41.5% on 24 Feb 2026. $11.99K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 25, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 24 Feb 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Feb 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| S01T004651 | Down | 1K |
| wanweili | Down | 100 |
| zuozhuoshang | Down | 60 |
| weiszis | Down | 60 |
| ranjinle | Down | 50 |
| liangsige | Down | 50 |
| Prize-Motorboat | Down | 43.5 |
| jiaxiaoxiao | Down | 40 |
| Misty Maven 7157 | Down | 40 |
| Mynamer1 | Down | 26.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eth-updown-4h-1771880400
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