
Resolved Down on 29 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 96%. The Up side opened at 50% on 28 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 28 Nov 2025 and the low 4% on 29 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4% on 29 Nov 2025. $8.15K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Nov 2025 – 29 Nov 2025
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Nov 2025 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 9735 | Up | 359.99 |
| Wild-Unemployment | Up | 308.33 |
| S01T004651 | Up | 208.29 |
| 5gtF9IzdB | Up | 208 |
| Spiteful-Fencing | Up | 200 |
| Sparse-Context | Up | 200 |
| V1B91pAV | Up | 198 |
| Hzu4rhm | Up | 198 |
| Best-Scow | Up | 197 |
| New-Surge | Up | 196 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eth-updown-4h-1764363600
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