Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 48% on 13 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 48% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 25% on 18 Jan 2026. $4.1K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 48.0% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 153.76 |
| LeviBoo | Yes | 127.7 |
| Supernagib | Yes | 115.16 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Sunday, January 25, 2026 between Real Zaragoza and CD Castellón.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-zar-cas-2026-01-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Carhean | Yes | 50 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 41.04 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 25 |
| Cannae | Yes | 18.64 |
| skyzee27 | Yes | 11.67 |
