Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 30%. Yes opened at 49% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 33.5% on 9 Mar 2026. $5.32K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 11:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 458.31 |
| Zany-Sprinter | No | 312.87 |
| Punisher2022 | No | 164.46 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 14, 2026 between Real Zaragoza and UD Almería.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-zar-alm-2026-03-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Triz88 | No | 70.58 |
| Cannae | No | 17.18 |
| ArbitrageFund | No | 11 |
| Weekly-Diffuse | No | 10.1 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 5.58 |
| Oakledger | No | 5 |
