Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 29 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2026 to 6 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.5% on 3 Apr 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 52% on 1 Apr 2026. $45.59K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 29 Mar 2026 – 6 Apr 2026, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 6 Apr 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | No | 3.7K |
| FTX2.0 | No | 2.4K |
| Punisher2022 | No | 631.84 |
| Cannae | No | 551.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Monday, April 6, 2026 between Real Sporting de Gijón and Real Sociedad de Fútbol B.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-spo-rso-2026-04-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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