Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 12 Jan 2026 and the low 15% on 24 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 18% on 19 Jan 2026. $3.09K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 12 Jan 2026 – 24 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 24 Jan 2026 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 613.42 |
| zxcursed121 | Yes | 115.48 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 54.05 |
| Cannae | Yes | 50.79 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | Yes | 25.19 |
| Fth01 | Yes | 23.53 |
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 24, 2026 If CD Mirandés wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-spo-mir-2026-01-24
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