
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 16 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 35% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 35% on 17 Mar 2026. $189.94K traded over the market's life.
90 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 8:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | 48.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NeilCam | Yes | 5.63K |
| FeatherBrick112 | Yes | 4.83K |
| santilopez007 | Yes | 4.65K |
| SpatialGhost1688 | Yes | 4.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 28, 2026 between Málaga CF and CD Leganés.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/es2-mal-leg-2026-03-28
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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